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How Likely Is That?

A 70% chance is not a promise. Build a likelihood ruler, run the trials, and find out why something can be probably-true and still not happen.

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MathGrades 3–8

How Likely Is That?

A 70% chance is not a promise. Build a likelihood ruler, run the trials, and find out why something can be probably-true and still not happen.

Pack
7 pages
Runs
30–60 min
Ages
8–13, flexes 7–15
Zone
The Lab

Full pack: facilitator guide, timed agenda, supply list, and print-ready pages — members download the day it drops.

ProbabilityLikelihood scalesPrediction vs. certaintyData collection

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Homeschooling?

Where this fits your week

This pack was written for a homeschool table. The homeschool start-here page sequences it with the rest — what to print tonight, what comes next, no technical parent required. Start here →